title: Caries prediction from initial measurements in clinical trial subjects.
abstract: The correlation between future caries activity and predictor variables of initial caries experience and surfaces at risk was examined in control-group adolescents in two clinical trials conducted over three years. By modifying and combining the predictors in accordance with clinical observation, 25% of the variance of the DMFS increment was explained compared with the 13% attributable to initial DMFS alone. Seventy percent of the variability in DMFS experience at 14 to 15 years of age was accounted for by caries experience two years earlier.
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D002648:Child; D004245:DMF Index; D003731:Dental Caries / Q000209:etiology*; D003732:Dental Caries Activity Tests; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D011336:Probability; D012306:Risk; D013997:Time Factors; D014070:Tooth / Q000033:anatomy & histology