title: [Mathematical models in epidemiology: Study on viral hepatitis in Italy (author's transl)].
abstract: In this paper a mathematical approach to the epidemics is proposed. The method is based upon a model able to describe any time-depending phenomena using the following elements: "class", "transition" and "related probability". The solution of the differential equations describing the model are obtained: first, by numerical techniques; second, by a Montecarlo simulation method. Deterministic and stochastic solutions which have been obtained, by applying the model to the study of viral hepatitis in Italy during 1960--1970, have been compared each other, to improve the model itself.
mesh_terms: D002353:Carrier State / Q000453:epidemiology; D006525:Hepatitis, Viral, Human / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006801:Humans; D007558:Italy; D008954:Models, Biological; D009010:Monte Carlo Method; D011336:Probability; D013269:Stochastic Processes
vernacular_title: Modelli matematici in epidemiologia: studio dell'epatite virale in Italia.