Techniques for the computation in demographic projections of health manpower.
Some basic principles and algorithms are presented which can be used for projective calculations of medical staff on the basis of demographic data. The effects of modifications of the input data such as by health policy measures concerning training capacity, can be demonstrated by repeated calculations with assumptions. Such models give a variety of results and may highlight the probable future balance between health manpower supply and requirements.
D000206:Actuarial Analysis; D005544:Forecasting; D006280:Health Workforce / Q000600:supply & distribution* / Q000639:trends; D006801:Humans; D008433:Mathematics; D009026:Mortality; D010820:Physicians / Q000600:supply & distribution