An analysis of the need for pediatric surgeons in the United States.
A questionnaire study covering all major population areas in the United States indicated that pediatric surgeons and potentially capable hospitals are already well-distributed throughout the country. The estimation of need for pediatric surgeons based on the area questionnaires is close to the present number of surgeons. A computer analysis was made to project numbers of pediatric surgeons per unit population to the year 2000 with differing levels of trainee output. The study indicates that 14-15 training programs are sufficient to allow for slow, modest growth of the specialty if current population trends continue.
D005544:Forecasting; D013502:General Surgery; D010372:Pediatrics; D011158:Population Growth; D014481:United States; D000078329:Workforce