title: [Quantitative prognosis in acute myocardial infarct; the efficiency of the Peel index and its modificantion with 398 patients].
abstract: Making use of "coronary prognostic index" of Peel and its modifications, a retrospective assessment is performed on the state of 398 patients with acute myocardial infarction with a mark, equal to the sum of marks of the signs of the initial myocardial period, allowing the prediction of the lethal end in the first 28 days of the onset of the disease. The predicted lethality for the corresponding mark intervals was established to be close to the real and that both systems show similar real lethality for the separate mark intervals. Modified Peel system proved more effective: it provides an average of 0,015 bits more information for the disease outcome than the analogic system of Peel. Peel index and its modification are insufficiently complex but easily accessible and sufficiently provable as to be used in every day practice in order to differentiate the patients with poor prognosis and take better care of.
mesh_terms: D000208:Acute Disease; D000368:Aged; D002031:Bulgaria; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008433:Mathematics; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000401:mortality; D011379:Prognosis; D012189:Retrospective Studies
vernacular_title: Kolichestvena prognoza pri ostur miokarden infarkt; efektivnost na indeksa na Peel i modifikatsiiata mu pri 398 bolni