title: [The methodological aspects in enhancing the efficacy of the epidemiological surveillance of HIV infection].
abstract: Using a systems approach, the authors examined the main principles underlying an expert-based system for epidemiological surveillance over HIV infection. The principle objective is to control the processes which precede the occurrence of new infected cases and further spread of HIV infection. Accordingly, the system should address the following: epidemiological diagnosis and prediction of HIV incidence and spread, development of optimal preventive anti-epidemiological measures, research into how the infection spread. This should incorporate a database which is made by the hierarchic principle: the parameters of higher levels include those of lower level. So that the highest level would include two main integral estimates characterizing the risk of HIV from the outside (the first estimate) and the risk of HIV infection (the second estimate).
authors.forename: E V
authors.initials: EV
authors.lastname: Churnosov
authors.forename: T T
authors.initials: TT
authors.lastname: Smol'skaia
authors.forename: Zh V
authors.initials: ZhV
authors.lastname: Terent'eva
mesh_terms: D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D005103:Expert Systems; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission; D015497:HIV-1; D006801:Humans; D011159:Population Surveillance / Q000379:methods*; D012307:Risk Factors; D013597:Systems Analysis
vernacular_title: Metodologicheskie aspekty povysheniia éffektivnosti épidemiologicheskogo nadzora za VICh-infektsii.