Longitudinal evaluation of prostate-specific antigen levels in men with and without prostate disease.
OBJECTIVE
To evaluate longitudinal changes in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels in men with and without prostate disease.


METHODS
Case-control study of men with and without prostate disease who were participants in a prospective aging study.


METHODS
Gerontology Research Center of the National Institute on Aging; the Baltimore (Md) Longitudinal Study of Aging.


METHODS
Sixteen men with no prostate disease (control group), 20 men with a histologic diagnosis of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), and 18 men with a histologic diagnosis of prostate cancer.


METHODS
Multiple PSA and androgen determinations on serum samples obtained from 7 to 25 years prior to histologic diagnosis or exclusion of prostate disease.


RESULTS
Changes in androgen levels with age did not differ between groups. Control subjects did not show a significant change in PSA levels with age. There was a significant difference in the age-adjusted rate of change in PSA levels between groups (prostate cancer greater than BPH greater than control; P less than .01). At 5 years before diagnosis when PSA levels did not differ between subjects with BPH and prostate cancer, rate of change in PSA levels (0.75 micrograms/L per year) was significantly greater in subjects with prostate cancer compared with control subjects and subjects with BPH. Also, rate of change in PSA levels distinguished subjects with prostate cancer from subjects with BPH and control subjects with a specificity of 90% and 100%, respectively.


CONCLUSIONS
The most significant factor affecting serum PSA levels with age is the development of prostate disease. Rate of change in PSA levels may be a sensitive and specific early clinical marker for the development of prostate cancer.
Department of Urology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
H B
HB
Carter
J D
JD
Pearson
E J
EJ
Metter
L J
LJ
Brant
D W
DW
Chan
R
R
Andres
J L
JL
Fozard
P C
PC
Walsh
D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D000951:Antigens, Neoplasm / Q000032:analysis*; D014408:Biomarkers, Tumor / Q000032:analysis*; D016022:Case-Control Studies; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D007986:Luteinizing Hormone / Q000097:blood; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011467:Prostate / Q000276:immunology*; D017430:Prostate-Specific Antigen; D011470:Prostatic Hyperplasia / Q000097:blood / Q000276:immunology; D011471:Prostatic Neoplasms / Q000097:blood / Q000276:immunology*; D011472:Prostatitis / Q000097:blood / Q000276:immunology; D012044:Regression Analysis; D013739:Testosterone / Q000097:blood
D000951:Antigens, Neoplasm; D014408:Biomarkers, Tumor; D013739:Testosterone; D007986:Luteinizing Hormone; D017430:Prostate-Specific Antigen