title: Macro model prediction of elderly people's injury and death in road traffic accidents in Croatia.
abstract: The case of elderly people injured and killed in traffic accidents in Croatia is used to illustrate a prediction method. This method consists of several steps. First, the most important variables are selected. Second, to overcome intercorrelation, new variables are constructed that include the old ones. Third, the new variables and its first derivatives are used in a rank correlation method. The results show good predictive capabilities.
authors.affiliation: Andrija Stampar School of Public Health, University of Zagreb, Croatia.
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Vorko-Jović
authors.forename: F
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Jović
mesh_terms: D000063:Accidents, Traffic / Q000401:mortality / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D000368:Aged; D017523:Croatia / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D014947:Wounds and Injuries / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000401:mortality