title: Hemodynamic and oxygen transport patterns for outcome prediction, therapeutic goals, and clinical algorithms to improve outcome. Feasibility of artificial intelligence to customize algorithms.
abstract: A generalized decision tree or clinical algorithm for treatment of high-risk elective surgical patients was developed from a physiologic model based on empirical data. First, a large data bank was used to do the following: (1) describe temporal hemodynamic and oxygen transport patterns that interrelate cardiac, pulmonary, and tissue perfusion functions in survivors and nonsurvivors; (2) define optimal therapeutic goals based on the supranormal oxygen transport values of high-risk postoperative survivors; (3) compare the relative effectiveness of alternative therapies in a wide variety of clinical and physiologic conditions; and (4) to develop criteria for titration of therapy to the endpoints of the supranormal optimal goals using cardiac index (CI), oxygen delivery (DO2), and oxygen consumption (VO2) as proxy outcome measures. Second, a general purpose algorithm was generated from these data and tested in preoperatively randomized clinical trials of high-risk surgical patients. Improved outcome was demonstrated with this generalized algorithm. The concept that the supranormal values represent compensations that have survival value has been corroborated by several other groups. We now propose a unique approach to refine the generalized algorithm to develop customized algorithms and individualized decision analysis for each patient's unique problems. The present article describes a preliminary evaluation of the feasibility of artificial intelligence techniques to accomplish individualized algorithms that may further improve patient care and outcome.
authors.affiliation: Department of Emergency Medicine and Surgery, King-Drew Medical Center, Los Angeles, Calif.
authors.forename: W C
authors.initials: WC
authors.lastname: Shoemaker
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Patil
authors.forename: P L
authors.initials: PL
authors.lastname: Appel
authors.forename: H B
authors.initials: HB
authors.lastname: Kram
mesh_terms: D000465:Algorithms; D001185:Artificial Intelligence; D001692:Biological Transport; D003663:Decision Trees; D005240:Feasibility Studies; D006439:Hemodynamics; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D009102:Multiple Organ Failure / Q000097:blood / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology; D010100:Oxygen / Q000097:blood*; D011183:Postoperative Complications / Q000097:blood / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology*; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D012769:Shock / Q000097:blood / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology*; D013514:Surgical Procedures, Operative / Q000401:mortality / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D016896:Treatment Outcome
chemical_list: D010100:Oxygen