title: A short term projection of HIV infection and AIDS cases in Cameroon.
abstract: By September 1991 Cameroon had reported 650 cases of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS). The results from the sentinnel surveillance system showed a seroprevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)1 of 1.3% among pregnant women, 2.5% in people attending sexually transmitted disease clinics and 3.5% in tuberculosis patients in 1990. The estimated number of persons infected with HIV varies between 10,000 and 30,000. The World Health Organization projection model was used to make a short-term projection of HIV infection and AIDS cases; it indicated that the number of persons infected with HIV will double by the year 1995, with an estimated 8500 AIDS cases. Even in a low prevalence country such as Cameroon, the impact of the HIV epidemic is important and will result in a burden for the health care system.
authors.affiliation: World Health Organization, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
authors.forename: J M
authors.initials: JM
authors.lastname: García-Calleja
authors.forename: J L
authors.initials: JL
authors.lastname: Mvondo
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Zekeng
authors.forename: J P
authors.initials: JP
authors.lastname: Louis
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Trebucq
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Salla
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Owona
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Kaptue
mesh_terms: D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology*; D002163:Cameroon / Q000453:epidemiology; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000453:epidemiology*; D015528:HIV Seroprevalence; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male