title: [Future scenario's Dementia 1990-2010--various major points from the scenario report 'Care for mental health in the future'].
abstract: This paper describes major points of a study on the future of dementia in the period 1990-2010. By means of a literature review and consultation of experts in a Delphi-study exploratory scenarios and a target-setting scenario were constructed. The paper delineates the exploratory reference-scenario, which includes the most probable processes and developments according to the majority of the experts. Furthermore necessary measures and strategies are described to increase the quality of care to demented elderly in the next twenty years.
authors.affiliation: Nederlands centrum Geestelijke volksgezondheid, Utrecht.
authors.forename: R V
authors.initials: RV
authors.lastname: Bijl
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Ketting
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D003697:Delphi Technique; D003704:Dementia / Q000517:prevention & control / Q000628:therapy*; D006285:Health Planning; D006801:Humans; D008605:Mental Health Services / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000600:supply & distribution*; D009426:Netherlands; D011336:Probability
vernacular_title: Toekomstscenario's Dementie 1990-2010--enkele hoofdpunten uit het scenariorapport 'Zorgen voor geestelijke gezondheid in de toekomst'.