title: Prediction of resumption of drinking in posttreatment alcoholics.
abstract: The ability of five factors (depressive symptomatology, neuropsychological performance, psychosocial maladjustment, previous treatment history, and childhood attention deficit disorder symptomatology) to predict relapse was examined in a follow-up experimental design. Fifty-eight male and 45 female alcoholics were interviewed immediately following release from inpatient treatment units. Fourteen months later, 41 subjects (41%) were classified as resumers; 62 (59%) were abstainers. Resumers showed significantly poorer scores than abstainers on all five of the predictor variables. Discriminant function analysis resulted in 75% correct classification of resumers and abstainers (chi 2 = 22.1, p less than .001). Stepwise multiple regression resulted in isolation of depressive symptomatology as the best single predictor of relapse.
authors.affiliation: Oklahoma Center for Alcohol and Drug-Related Studies, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City 73104.
authors.forename: S W
authors.initials: SW
authors.lastname: Glenn
authors.forename: O A
authors.initials: OA
authors.lastname: Parsons
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000428:Alcohol Drinking / Q000523:psychology*; D000436:Alcoholics Anonymous; D000437:Alcoholism / Q000523:psychology / Q000534:rehabilitation*; D001289:Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity / Q000150:complications / Q000523:psychology; D003866:Depressive Disorder / Q000150:complications / Q000523:psychology; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006760:Hospitalization; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D009483:Neuropsychological Tests; D012008:Recurrence; D012917:Social Adjustment