Oral health manpower projection methods and their implications for developing countries: the case of Zimbabwe.
Manpower projections for oral health are generally held to be more accurate than those for other health sectors since the diseases involved and their treatment times can be predicted more precisely. Nevertheless most oral health manpower projections are either overestimates or are not in line with the resources of individual countries, especially in developing countries. Zimbabwe was taken as the study case, and oral health manpower projections were made using two of the most commonly employed methods and one new approach. The projections obtained using the three methods were all different, and even the lowest projection is beyond the resources of the country. It is recommended that in making oral health manpower projections, the facilities available to accommodate these personnel should also be taken into account.
Khan
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AA
Department of Dentistry, Shaikh Zayed Federal Post-Graduate Medical Institute, Lahore, Pakistan.
Sithole
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WD
D003756:Dental Hygienists / Q000193:education / Q000600:supply & distribution*; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods*; D006285:Health Planning / Q000458:organization & administration*; D006301:Health Services Needs and Demand / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D006280:Health Workforce / Q000592:standards*; D006801:Humans; D009937:Organizational Objectives; D015030:Zimbabwe