A routine tool for detection and assessment of epidemics of influenza-like syndromes in France.
A regression model for the nonepidemic level of influenza-like syndrome has been estimated from the 55,200 cases collected between October 1984 and August 1988 using the French Communicable Diseases Computer Network. The start of a major epidemic in 1988-89 was detected early. The size of the epidemic, for the entire country, was estimated at approximately 4.3 million cases. The excess cost of sick-leave, among those of working age, was estimated at $86 million.
Costagliola
D
D
Unit of Research in Biomathematics and Biostatistics, INSERM, Paris, France.
Flahault
A
A
Galinec
D
D
Garnerin
P
P
Menares
J
J
Valleron
A J
AJ
D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D005240:Feasibility Studies; D005544:Forecasting; D005602:France / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology*; D007256:Information Systems; D015233:Models, Statistical; D012044:Regression Analysis