title: A routine tool for detection and assessment of epidemics of influenza-like syndromes in France.
abstract: A regression model for the nonepidemic level of influenza-like syndrome has been estimated from the 55,200 cases collected between October 1984 and August 1988 using the French Communicable Diseases Computer Network. The start of a major epidemic in 1988-89 was detected early. The size of the epidemic, for the entire country, was estimated at approximately 4.3 million cases. The excess cost of sick-leave, among those of working age, was estimated at $86 million.
authors.affiliation: Unit of Research in Biomathematics and Biostatistics, INSERM, Paris, France.
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Costagliola
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Flahault
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Galinec
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Garnerin
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Menares
authors.forename: A J
authors.initials: AJ
authors.lastname: Valleron
mesh_terms: D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D005240:Feasibility Studies; D005544:Forecasting; D005602:France / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology*; D007256:Information Systems; D015233:Models, Statistical; D012044:Regression Analysis