title: A note on the calculation of expected survival, illustrated by the survival of liver transplant patients.
abstract: Based on historical regression analyses of survival one may calculate expected survival curves for patients in a study group, based on their observed covariates. This note discusses this calculation and illustrates it on a comparison of the survival of a certain group of liver transplant patients to their prognosis under conservative treatment.
authors.affiliation: Statistical Research Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
authors.forename: B L
authors.initials: BL
authors.lastname: Thomsen
authors.forename: N
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Keiding
authors.forename: D G
authors.initials: DG
authors.lastname: Altman
mesh_terms: D006801:Humans; D016031:Liver Transplantation / Q000401:mortality; D012044:Regression Analysis; D016019:Survival Analysis