title: [The evolution and prognosis of liver cirrhosis patients. III. An evaluation of the survival rate and mortality using graphic mathematical models].
abstract: The survival and mortality were assessed in 474 patients with liver cirrhosis followed up for a long time in outpatient conditions. The programme 2R of the statistical package BMDP was used and the following mathematical methods were applied: function of survival (for men and women) assessed by the method of Kaplan-Meyer; function of mortality assessed by the hazard-model of Link; velocity of growth of the function of mortality and method of the cumulative function of mortality for the remainders. The achievement of data, confirming each other, by the four mathematical graphic models applied allows the assertion that the selected method for assessment of the prognosis of liver cirrhosis is correct. It may be concluded with great certainty that there is no difference in the survival between men and women suffering from liver cirrhosis.
authors.forename: K
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Chernev
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Isa
authors.forename: V
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Bakalov
authors.forename: Ch
authors.initials: Ch
authors.lastname: Aleksiev
mesh_terms: D002031:Bulgaria; D006801:Humans; D008103:Liver Cirrhosis / Q000401:mortality*; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011379:Prognosis; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D012737:Sex Factors; D015996:Survival Rate
vernacular_title: Prouchvane na evoliutsiiata i prognozata pri bolni s chernodrobna tsiroza. III. Otsenka na prezhiviaemostta i smŭrtnostta chrez grafichni matematicheski modeli.