title: Predicting outcome of schizophrenia: significance of symptom profiles and outcome dimensions.
abstract: To clarify the antecedents of poor long-term outcome in schizophrenia, 58 DSM-III diagnosed schizophrenic inpatients, mostly chronic, were prospectively assessed on psychiatric symptoms and background variables. The 46 patients (79.3%) who could be relocated after 1 to 4 years (mean, 2.7 years) were evaluated on a multidimensional outcome scale and days of subsequent hospitalization. We found, contrary to prevailing belief, that a baseline positive, not negative, syndrome predicted poor outcome. Thought disturbance portended the worst prognosis and depressive syndrome the best. Multiple regression analysis showed (a) reliable prediction for 9 of 10 outcome measures (r values from .49 to .61); (b) separate contributions by clinical, genealogical, and historical predictors; and (c) different sets of variables that predicted social v occupational adjustment. The results have implications for prognosis, rehabilitation planning, and understanding of the obstacles to successful transition to community living.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychiatry, Albert Einstein College of Medicine/Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY.
authors.forename: S R
authors.initials: SR
authors.lastname: Kay
authors.forename: L M
authors.initials: LM
authors.lastname: Murrill
mesh_terms: D000342:Affective Symptoms / Q000150:complications; D000367:Age Factors; D000437:Alcoholism / Q000150:complications; D000987:Antisocial Personality Disorder / Q000150:complications; D002908:Chronic Disease; D003863:Depression / Q000150:complications; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D010352:Patient Dropouts; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012050:Rehabilitation, Vocational; D012559:Schizophrenia / Q000150:complications / Q000534:rehabilitation; D012565:Schizophrenic Psychology; D012917:Social Adjustment; D013850:Thinking