title: Risk factors for early and late outcome after surgical treatment of native infective endocarditis.
abstract: Cardiac valve replacement was performed on 76 patients with acute or subacute native infective endocarditis. The 30-day mortality/5-year survival (%/% +/- SE) was 18/67 +/- 7, after aortic valve replacement (n = 50), 6/82 +/- 10 in the mitral group (n = 18) and 38/63 +/- 17 after double valve replacement (n = 8): NS/NS. In patients with destruction and/or abscess of the anulus (DESAB), which was commonest in the aortic group, the corresponding figures were 31/48 +/- 10, compared with 10/81 +/- 6 in the other patients (p less than 0.05/less than 0.01). Atrioventricular block and complete bundle branch block were commoner in the former group. When the time from onset of fever to operation was 1-6 months (n = 50), the 5-year survival was 79 +/- 6% compared with 51 +/- 10% (p less than 0.05) when that time was less than 1 month (n = 14) or greater than 6 months (n = 12). Logistic regression analysis showed NYHA class III-IV and DESAB to be independent risk factors in 30-day mortality, which was 3.8% when neither, and 46.2% when both of these factors were present (p less than 0.01). Cox regression analysis identified NYHA class IV (p less than 0.0001), calcified mitral valve or anulus (p = 0.001), DESAB (p = 0.01), male gender (p = 0.02), supraventricular arrhythmia (p = 0.04) and vegetations on the diseased valve (p = 0.05) as independent determinants of overall long-term mortality. Patients with none (n = 6), any one (n = 16), any two (n = 28), any three (n = 20), any four (n = 6) or any five (n = 2) of these risk factors (none had 6) had respective 30-day/5-year survival rates (% +/- SE) of 100/100, 94 +/- 6/94 +/- 6, 89 +/- 6/85 +/- 7, 75 +/- 10/43 +/- 13, 67 +/- 9/17 +/- 15 (at 1 year) and 0/0 (p less than 0.0001). Identification of independent risk factors permitted stratification of the patients into subgroups with prognosis ranging from 100% 5-year survival to 0% 30-day survival. Surgical treatment of native infective endocarditis should be undertaken before cardiac disability is advanced or infective destruction of the anulus, notably of the aortic valve, becomes evident.
authors.affiliation: Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Skejby Sygehus-Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark.
authors.forename: H H
authors.initials: HH
authors.lastname: Kimose
authors.forename: O
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Lund
authors.forename: O
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Kromann-Hansen
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D001021:Aortic Valve; D002648:Child; D004697:Endocarditis, Bacterial / Q000401:mortality* / Q000601:surgery; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006350:Heart Valve Prosthesis / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008943:Mitral Valve; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012307:Risk Factors; D015996:Survival Rate; D013997:Time Factors