title: [Epidemiologic dynamics of scarlet fever in Chile].
abstract: The monthly incidence of scarlet fever was studied by time-series analysis. Two types of periodic fluctuations were detected involving a bimodal short seasonal cycle and a long-term cycle whose period takes 5 years approximately. The interactions of the respiratory transmission mechanism, person to person contacts and environmental temperature would explain the seasonal cycle bimodality. The long-term cycle would be explained by asynchronic fluctuations of the fraction of population assigned to "cases" and "susceptibles".
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Canals
mesh_terms: D002677:Chile / Q000453:epidemiology; D005583:Fourier Analysis; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012541:Scarlet Fever / Q000453:epidemiology*; D012621:Seasons
vernacular_title: Dinámica epidemiológica de la escarlatina en Chile.