[Prognostic significance of clinical, ergometric and coronarographic data in patients soon after myocardial infarction].
The relative prognostic value of the clinical evaluation (Clin), exercise testing (ET), and cardiac catheterization (Cath), was assessed in 167 consecutive patients who underwent these exams within 40 days after an acute myocardial infarction. Each patient was followed at least 24 months; 12 patients died and 59 presented major cardiac events (angina, reinfarction and death). All the parameters were analyzed by univariate and discriminant and Cox regression analysis. For purposes of analysis, the predictive power of 3 sets of variables was analyzed separately: Clin, Clin + ET, Clin + ET + Cath. In the prediction of major cardiac events, only previous myocardial infarction was selected among the Clin parameters by multivariate analysis while ST segment depression, maximal systolic blood pressure, exercise duration and, though less significantly, coronary artery disease extension were selected among the ET and Cath var. The percentage of patients correctly classified was very low using only the Clin variables (60%) and significantly improved when ET and, to a lesser degree, Cath were added (77% and 80%, respectively). Multivariate discriminant analysis selected, as significant predictors of cardiac death, digitalis therapy, appearance of bundle branch block, previous myocardial infarction and anterior location of the myocardial infarction among the Clin variables, while exercise duration and LV ejection fraction were selected among the ET and Cath variables, respectively. The predictive power of the Clin variables alone was only slightly improved by the use of ET and Cath as the percentage of patients correctly classified was 76%, 81% and 84% using only the Clin, the Clin + ET and the combination of the Clin + ET + Cath var, respectively. In conclusion, the variables associated with a depressed LV function are the best predictors of future death and cardiac events; coronary angiography can only slightly improve the specificity of the exercise testing in the prediction of major cardiac events.
L
L
Dei Cas
M
M
Metra
C
C
Cuccia
L
L
Niccoli
S
S
Nodari
O
O
Visioli
D000792:Angiography; D017023:Coronary Angiography; D005080:Exercise Test; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006321:Heart / Q000503:physiopathology; D006334:Heart Function Tests; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology; D011379:Prognosis; D013997:Time Factors
Significato prognostico dei dati clinici, ergometrici e coronarografici in pazienti con infarto miocardico recente.