A case at last for age-phased reduction in equity.
Maximizing expected utility over a lifetime leads one who has constant relative risk aversion and faces random-walk securities returns to be "myopic" and hold the same fraction of portfolio in equities early and late in life--a defiance of folk wisdom and casual introspection. By assuming one needs to assure at retirement a minimum ("subsistence") level of wealth, the present analysis deduces a pattern of greater risk-taking when young than when old. When a subsistence minimum is needed at every period of life, the rentier paradoxically is least risk tolerant in youth--the Robert C. Merton paradox that traces to the decline with age of the present discounted value of the subsistence-consumption requirements. Conversely, the decline with age of capitalized human capital reverses the Merton effect.
Samuelson
P A
PA
Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge 02139.
D000375:Aging / Q000523:psychology*; D004467:Economics; D006801:Humans; D008433:Mathematics; D008960:Models, Psychological; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D012309:Risk-Taking