Factors determining in-hospital or late survival after aortic valve replacement.
To ascertain incremental risk factors for in-hospital and late mortality of patients undergoing AVR with the bovine pericardial valve, multiple variables were analyzed in a group of 240 patients undergoing AVR between 1977 and 1983. Follow-up totaled 12,023 patient-months (mean, 52.7 +/- 1.7 patient-months) and was 100 percent complete. Univariate analysis of incremental risk factors for in-hospital mortality identified the following: age over 60 years (p = 0.015); and advanced preoperative NYHA class (p = 0.003). Multivariate analysis of risk factors for in-hospital mortality identified the following: age (p = 0.038); NYHA class (p = 0.018); and year of operation (p = 0.049). Incremental risk factors for late mortality were identified as age (p = 0.003), year of operation (p = 0.003), concomitant procedure (p = 0.047), and valvular lesion (regurgitation) (p = 0.053). Actuarial survival of patients (+/- SE) was 87 +/- 2 percent, 75 +/- 3 percent, and 61 +/- 5 percent at 2, 5, and 8.7 years, respectively. The actuarial survival of patients experiencing valve-related events was 62.6 +/- 10.1 percent at 8.7 years, compared to 55.4 +/- 7 percent for those who did not (p = 0.38).
Gonzalez-Lavin
L
L
Department of Surgery, Deborah Heart and Lung Center, Browns Mills, NJ 08015.
Gonzalez-Lavin
J
J
McGrath
L B
LB
Amini
S
S
Graf
D
D
D000206:Actuarial Analysis; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D001021:Aortic Valve / Q000601:surgery*; D001705:Bioprosthesis; D005260:Female; D006350:Heart Valve Prosthesis / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011183:Postoperative Complications / Q000401:mortality; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D013997:Time Factors