title: [The prognostic selection of subjects with neurological manifestations of lumbar osteochondrosis during mass prophylactic examinations of the population (screening)].
abstract: Several types of tabulated and computerized screening systems have been developed for the selection of subjects at high risk of the development or a relapse within 1-3 years of marked lumbosacral pain involving a temporary disability. The systems are intended to be used during wide-scale prophylactic medical examinations but may also be employed on an individual basis. Some of the proposed systems are based on a self-interview (7-9 questions), others take into consideration objective neurological findings. The authors present a simple calculation table to assess the probability of a relapse of vertebrogenic lumbosacral pain within 12 months. The prognostic coefficients were calculated with the help of modified Bayes' method.
authors.forename: I P
authors.initials: IP
authors.lastname: Antonov
authors.forename: Ia A
authors.initials: IaA
authors.lastname: Lup'ian
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D001499:Bayes Theorem; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008159:Lumbar Vertebrae; D008297:Male; D008403:Mass Screening / Q000379:methods; D009422:Nervous System Diseases / Q000209:etiology / Q000517:prevention & control*; D010007:Osteochondritis / Q000150:complications / Q000517:prevention & control*; D011379:Prognosis; D012008:Recurrence; D002094:Republic of Belarus; D011795:Surveys and Questionnaires
vernacular_title: Prognosticheskiĭ otbor lits s nevrologicheskimi proiavleniiami poiasnichnogo osteokhondroza pri massovykh profilakticheskikh osmotrakh naseleniia (skrining).