[Demographic impact of AIDS mortality in France in 1990: AIDS before suicide and next to traffic accidents].
This paper presents an evaluation of the demographic impact of mortality by AIDS in the next future years, in France. Future cases are predicted by using a regression technique based on an exponential model. Three demographic indicators are computed: Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL), Expectancy of Life (EL) and Expectancy of Active Life (EAL) for males. For example, in 1990 AIDS would be responsible of a loss of 0.67 and 0.38 years for EL and EAL respectively. These results would raise AIDS almost to the Accidents level and ahead of Suicide. Moreover, we consider that the estimations presented in this article are rather optimistic, taking into account the fact that there is an increasing proportion of IV drug abusers cases, younger than the other cases.
Flandre
P
P
URBB, INSERM U 263, Université de Paris.
Valleron
A J
AJ
D000063:Accidents, Traffic / Q000401:mortality*; D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / Q000401:mortality*; D000206:Actuarial Analysis; D005544:Forecasting; D005602:France; D006801:Humans; D008017:Life Expectancy; D008297:Male; D013405:Suicide / Q000453:epidemiology*
Impact démographique de la mortalité par SIDA en France en 1990: le SIDA devant le suicide et proche des accidents de la circulation.