An expository review of two methods of calculating the paternity probability.
There are two methods for calculating the posttests probability of paternity, viz., the nonexclusion probability method (E method) and the paternity index method (lambda method). This report reviews these two methods and explains the reasons behind them, in the hope that it might alleviate the current controversy between the advocates of these two methods. The emphasis throughout the paper is on exposition, using simple examples to illustrate certain principles or properties. A discussion follows the presentation of the two methods. The calculation of the paternity index is based on the genotype (or phenotype) of the accused man; and the value of the paternity index remains the same whether the accusation itself is true or false.
Li
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Department of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA 15261.
Chakravarti
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D001699:Biometry; D005260:Female; D006580:Genetic Carrier Screening; D030342:Genetic Diseases, Inborn / Q000235:genetics; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D010334:Paternity; D011336:Probability; D012737:Sex Factors