Suicide risk prediction by computer interview: a prospective study.
A computer interview program that uses a subjective Bayesian probability model to assess suicide risk was evaluated. Predictions made by clinicians for 52 patients were compared with predictions made by the computer for the same patients. The computer was significantly (p = .001) better at predicting attempters, and clinicians were significantly (p = .01) better at predicting nonattempters. An analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the computer had better overall discrimination, but the difference was nonsignificant.
Erdman
H P
HP
Department of Psychiatry, University of Wisconsin, Madison.
Greist
J H
JH
Gustafson
D H
DH
Taves
J E
JE
Klein
M H
MH
D003658:Decision Making, Computer-Assisted; D006801:Humans; D007407:Interviews as Topic / Q000379:methods*; D001523:Mental Disorders / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000523:psychology; D011336:Probability; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012372:ROC Curve; D012307:Risk Factors; D012984:Software; D013405:Suicide / Q000523:psychology*; D013406:Suicide, Attempted / Q000523:psychology