title: [Method for the short-term prognosis of annual morbidity indices in Sonne-type dysentery].
abstract: A method for making the short-term prognosis of the annual morbidity rate in Sonne dysentery, both total and among individual groups of population, is presented. The preliminary prognosis is based on the expected data on meteorological factors, supplied by the weather forecast service, and the final prognosis, on the actual prognostic factors for June-July of the current (prognosed) year.
mesh_terms: D003201:Computers; D004405:Dysentery, Bacillary / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006801:Humans; D008685:Meteorological Concepts; D008722:Methods; D008838:Microcomputers; D011379:Prognosis; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012621:Seasons; D012764:Shigella sonnei; D013997:Time Factors
vernacular_title: Metod kratkosrochnogo prognozirovaniia godovykh pokazateleĭ zabolevaemosti dizenterieĭ vida Zonne.