title: [Prognosis of the possible occurrence of myocardial infarct].
abstract: A program based on 19 risk factors is proposed for the prognosis of possible myocardial infarction within the next five years. The weight of every risk factor is computerized depending on its markedness. An equation is also proposed to calculate the prognostic index of infarction risks in an individual subject. Prospective studies in 4019 subjects have shown that no cases of myocardial infarction were recorded in subjects with low prognostic index, while the medium-high index was associated with infarction in 0,36% of the cases, and the high risk index with 26% of infarction cases over the three years of follow-up. The high-risk group only constituting 4% of total population, efficient prevention of myocardial infarction in those subjects seems to be a feasible approach.
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D003936:Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008722:Methods; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D011379:Prognosis; D012306:Risk
vernacular_title: Prognozirovanie vozmozhnosti vozniknoveniia infarkta miokarda.