Evaluating the demographic impact of societal events through intervention analysis: the Brown vs. Board of Education decision.
Using intervention analysis--a time-series technique gaining increasing use for analyzing the impacts of policy decisions/historic events--this paper reexamines the hypothesis offered by Rindfuss et al., that one consequence of the Brown vs. Board of Education decision in 1954 was a temporary decline in childbearing by white southerners. With data from the 11 former Confederate states, alternative Box-Jenkins/intervention models were estimated to identify/quantify such a decline, but no statistical evidence of a temporary shift in southern white fertility could be found.
D001741:Black or African American; D003710:Demography; D005260:Female; D005298:Fertility; D006801:Humans; D007878:Legislation as Topic; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D013269:Stochastic Processes; D014481:United States; D044465:White People