title: [Anti-influenza immunity and the prediction of influenza morbidity in the upcoming epidemic season].
abstract: The possibility of practical use of an increase in the level of antibody to a future causative agent of epidemic from minimal to the "critical" level in the human population against the background of a relative epidemic-free state in a town as a prepotent of an epidemic increase of influenza incidence was studied. During 4 spring and 3 autumn seasons (1978--1981) titres of antihemagglutinins to influenza A (H3N2) and B viruses were determined in 200--250 blood serum specimens from residents of Moscow selected with similar age distribution for each season against a working reference human serum. From the analysis of the antibody dynamics influenza A (H3N2) epidemic in 1979 and influenza B epidemic in 1980 were timely prognosed.
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000888:Antibodies, Anti-Idiotypic / Q000032:analysis; D000914:Antibodies, Viral / Q000032:analysis; D000917:Antibody Formation; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006801:Humans; D009980:Influenza A virus / Q000276:immunology; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000276:immunology*; D008875:Middle Aged; D009031:Moscow; D011379:Prognosis; D012621:Seasons
chemical_list: D000888:Antibodies, Anti-Idiotypic; D000914:Antibodies, Viral
vernacular_title: Protivogrippoznyĭ immunitet i prognozirovanie zabolevaemosti grippom na predstoiashchiĭ épidemicheskiĭ sezon.