title: [Rubella seroepidemiology. proposal of a predictive mathmatical model (author's transl)].
abstract: This paper deals with time dependent epidermic behaviour of rubella. The hypothesis that ten classes of immuno-response (Stewart test) can be reduced to three is assumed (= low, intermediate and high level). Upon these conditions a mathematical model is developed and tested using experimental data measured during six years over 1288 subjects. Initial conditions, time-constants and transition probability for the model are also estimated from experimental data.
mesh_terms: D000367:Age Factors; D000914:Antibodies, Viral / Q000032:analysis*; D000917:Antibody Formation; D006801:Humans; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011336:Probability; D012409:Rubella / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000276:immunology; D012737:Sex Factors; D013997:Time Factors
chemical_list: D000914:Antibodies, Viral
vernacular_title: Sieroepidemiologia della rosolia. Proposta di un modello matematico predittivo.