title: Salivary estriol as risk assessment for preterm labor: a prospective trial.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Increased understanding of human parturition allows for novel approaches to (1) identification of women at increased risk for preterm birth and (2) development and controlled testing of etiology-based strategies to prevent preterm birth.
  
  
  METHODS
  Five hundred forty-two women were enrolled at five study sites in a prospective evaluation of salivary estriol in samples obtained weekly beginning at 22 weeks' gestation (Salest, Biex, Inc., Boulder, Colo.). Estriol concentrations were determined with a well-characterized enzyme-linked immunoassay. Women adjudged at either high risk or low risk for prematurity were evaluated through to delivery.
  
  
  RESULTS
  A total of 267 women submitted serial samples that were analyzed; 241 women with singleton pregnancies submitted sufficient samples. Twenty-three women with singleton fetuses went into idiopathic preterm labor (without prior rupture of membranes) and were delivered preterm (mean 35 weeks' gestation); 182 were delivered at term (> or = 37 weeks' gestation). Mean (geometric) estriol concentrations were higher from 24 to 34 weeks in women with singleton pregnancies delivering preterm (p < 0.05). A surge in estriol concentrations occurred approximately 3 weeks before the onset of labor in both women delivering at term and those delivering preterm. This increase occurred approximately 4 weeks earlier in women delivered preterm versus term. Receiver-operator curve analyses showed that exceeding a 2.3 ng/ml saliva estriol level was associated with occurrence of preterm labor (71% sensitivity, 77% specificity, 23% false-positive rate).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Detection of an early estriol surge or increased level (> or = 2.3 ng/ml) may be clinically helpful in identifying women at elevated risk for preterm labor and birth, allowing for evaluation of biologically based interventions in controlled trials.
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000704:Analysis of Variance; D016009:Chi-Square Distribution; D004964:Estriol / Q000032:analysis*; D005189:False Positive Reactions; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007124:Immunoenzyme Techniques; D007745:Labor Onset; D007752:Obstetric Labor, Premature / Q000175:diagnosis*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011247:Pregnancy; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012372:ROC Curve; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012463:Saliva / Q000737:chemistry*; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D006113:United Kingdom; D014481:United States
chemical_list: D004964:Estriol