title: Using data from epidemiologic studies to revise probabilities.
abstract: Information about the relationship between risk factors and the probability of disease is often reported by an odds ratio, although its use for revising the probability of disease in a clinical setting is not intuitive and requires complex computations. A somewhat better approach is Bayesian probability revision. The authors present a method where likelihood ratios can be obtained from odds ratios, and they present simple computational methods for implementing all of the techniques described.
authors.affiliation: US Quality Algorithms, Blue Bell, Pennsylvania, USA.
authors.forename: J F
authors.initials: JF
authors.lastname: Murray
authors.forename: G R
authors.initials: GR
authors.lastname: Bergus
mesh_terms: D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D006801:Humans; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D016017:Odds Ratio; D015995:Prevalence; D011320:Primary Health Care / Q000379:methods*; D011336:Probability; D012307:Risk Factors