Estimating the human immunodeficiency virus infection curve of intravenous drug users in Lombardia, Italy.
We present a model to estimate the infection curve of the human immunodeficiency virus in intravenous drug users in Lombardia. We based estimates on AIDS incidence data, according to a backcalculation model accounting for 'therapy' and changes in the surveillance definition of AIDS.
Salvaggio
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Istituto di Igiene e Medicina Preventiva, Università degli Studi di Milano, Italy.
D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000628:therapy; D000465:Algorithms; D018450:Disease Progression; D005260:Female; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000401:mortality / Q000628:therapy; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D007558:Italy / Q000453:epidemiology; D008297:Male; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011159:Population Surveillance; D011336:Probability; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D015819:Substance Abuse, Intravenous / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000401:mortality