title: The relationship of the retail availability of alcohol and alcohol sales to alcohol-related traffic crashes.
abstract: The research literature on the relationship of alcohol consumption to motor vehicle crash risk clearly implicates the importance of minimizing the use of alcohol in conjunction with the operation of motor vehicles. However, there has been relatively little documentation of the direct impact of changes in beverage-specific alcohol sales on the most common surrogate for alcohol-involved traffic crashes, single-vehicle nighttime fatalities. Similarly, there have been few studies of the relationship between the physical availability of alcohol and fatal crash rates which have concurrently controlled for differences in alcohol sales. Indeed, the possibility that reduced availability might lead to increases rather than decreases in fatal crashes (due to increased driving after drinking) has not been adequately tested. This paper presents a series of analyses of time-series cross-sectional data from 38 states over 12 years to evaluate the impact of changes in alcohol sales and the physical availability of alcohol upon single-vehicle nighttime fatal crashes. The results of the study showed, first, that independent of a number of economic and demographic covariates, rates of single-vehicle nighttime fatal crashes were most strongly related to sales of beer and less so to sales of spirits and wine. Second, net of beverage-specific alcohol sales, the physical availability of alcohol was not related to measurable changes in fatal crash rates. Thus, reductions in availability intended to reduce alcohol sales and problems would not appear to increase traffic-related crashes through increased driving exposure.
authors.affiliation: Prevention Research Center, Berkeley, CA 94704, USA.
authors.forename: P J
authors.initials: PJ
authors.lastname: Gruenewald
authors.forename: W R
authors.initials: WR
authors.lastname: Ponicki
mesh_terms: D000063:Accidents, Traffic / Q000401:mortality / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000428:Alcohol Drinking / Q000009:adverse effects*; D000434:Alcoholic Beverages / Q000191:economics / Q000600:supply & distribution*; D001515:Beer / Q000600:supply & distribution; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D006801:Humans; D016018:Least-Squares Analysis; D008875:Middle Aged; D012044:Regression Analysis; D014920:Wine / Q000600:supply & distribution