High sex ratios in China's future.
In China in recent years, male live births have exceeded those of females by amounts far greater than those that occur naturally in human populations, a trend with significant demographic consequences. The resulting imbalance in the first-marriage market is estimated to be about 1 million males per year after 2010. These "excess" males were not easily accommodated in models with substantial changes in first-marriage patterns. The current sex ratio at birth has little effect on a couple's probability of having at least one son, so future increases in the sex ratio may well occur, especially given increasing access to sex-selective abortion.
Morrison Institute for Population and Resource Studies, Department of Bioloical Sciences, Stanford University, CA 94305.
S
S
Tuljapurkar
N
N
Li
M W
MW
Feldman
D002681:China; D005260:Female; D005298:Fertility; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008393:Marriage; D011336:Probability; D012744:Sex Ratio