title: Limitations in the clinical prediction of intrapartum fetal asphyxia.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Our purpose was to demonstrate the predictive value of clinical risk scoring and fetal assessment for intrapartum fetal asphyxia.
  
  
  METHODS
  Intrapartum fetal asphyxia was defined by an umbilical artery buffer base < 34 mmol/L. The predictive value of 20 antepartum and intrapartum risk factors was examined in 1909 consecutive pregnancies. The predictive value of clinical risk factors with periodic fetal assessment was examined in a second population of 100 consecutive pregnancies with biochemically determined intrapartum fetal asphyxia.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The incidence of intrapartum was 2.3%. Two problems were apparent in these studies. A significant proportion of intrapartum fetal asphyxia occurred in pregnancies with no risk factors. The positive predictive value of clinical risk factors was low, 3%, resulting in a large number of false positives requiring clarification.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Screening and fetal assessment methods must be improved to ensure the early recognition of intrapartum fetal asphyxia that may require intervention during labor to avoid morbidity and mortality.
authors.affiliation: Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.
authors.forename: J A
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: Low
authors.forename: L L
authors.initials: LL
authors.lastname: Simpson
authors.forename: G
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Tonni
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Chamberlain
mesh_terms: D036861:Delivery, Obstetric; D005260:Female; D005312:Fetal Blood / Q000737:chemistry; D005311:Fetal Hypoxia / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D006863:Hydrogen-Ion Concentration; D015994:Incidence; D007743:Labor, Obstetric; D008470:Meconium; D007744:Obstetric Labor Complications; D007752:Obstetric Labor, Premature; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011247:Pregnancy; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors