Time in health: can we measure individuals' "pure time preferences"?
The time dimension in health is assessed and/or explained using the concept of time preference, i.e., preferences about when things occur or the timing of an outcome. It is believed that an individual's time preference can be relatively easily measured. This paper argues that individuals' responses to time-preference-type questions may represent not only their attitudes toward the timing of events (i.e., the points in time at which they are going to occur) but also their attitudes toward other things, such as the sequence of events (i.e., the order of good and bad events over an individual's lifetime health profile). This paper explains the distinction between the time-preference and sequence-preference concepts. Using two recent empirical studies, it demonstrates the inability to measure individuals' pure time preferences. The implications of this empirical obstacle in the context of medical decision making and health-care program evaluation are discussed.
Gafni
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Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
D001294:Attitude to Health; D003661:Decision Support Techniques; D003662:Decision Theory; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D009864:Ontario; D017063:Outcome Assessment, Health Care; D010358:Patient Participation; D015397:Program Evaluation / Q000379:methods; D013995:Time