Chronic congestive heart failure. Description and survival of 190 consecutive patients with a diagnosis of chronic congestive heart failure based on clinical signs and symptoms.
The prognosis, and clinical findings related to prognosis, were examined in a consecutive series of 190 patients under 76 years of age (mean 64 years) with congestive heart failure (CHF). The aetiology of CHF was ischaemic heart disease in 66%, hypertension in 11% and cardiomyopathy in 23%. The 2-year mortality was 32%. Median left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 0.30, range 0.06 to 0.74. Eight per cent were in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class I, 46% in II, 44% in III and 2% in IV. Multivariate analysis, excluding exercise test variables, revealed seven variables with independent, significant prognostic information, (hazard ratios for death in brackets): ln (natural logarithm) (LVEF) (3.19), NYHA class III+IV (2.72), plasma urea > 7.6 mmol.l-1 (2.22), serum creatinine > 121 mumol.l-1 (2.05), serum sodium < or = 137 mmol.l-1 (2.03), pulmonary congestion on X-ray (1.86), and age > 65 years (1.86). Multivariate analysis, including exercise testing, showed the following variables to contain independent, significant prognostic information: increase in heart rate during maximal exercise < or = 35 min-1 (3.5), ln (LVEF) (3.7), serum creatinine > 121 mumol.l-1 (2.9), maximal exercise time < or = 4 min (2.3), serum sodium < or = 137 mmol.l-1 (2.5), ischaemic heart disease (2.0) and plasma urea > 7.6 mmol.l-1 (1.9). In conclusion, patients with CHF have a high risk of death despite intensive medical treatment. LVEF is a strong predictor of mortality. Both NYHA class and exercise variables have strong independent prognostic information as regards mortality in combination with LVEF, but are mutually exclusive.
Department of Cardiology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
B K
BK
Madsen
J F
JF
Hansen
K H
KH
Stokholm
J
J
Brøns
D
D
Husum
L S
LS
Mortensen
D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D005080:Exercise Test; D005260:Female; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000209:etiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D013318:Stroke Volume; D015996:Survival Rate; D016277:Ventricular Function, Left