title: [Application of the mathematical model to forecast the incidence rates of seasonal infectious diseases].
abstract: The incidence rates of infectious diseases were selected and analysed according to data from the Beijing Railway Area during 1981-1991. We put forward the mathematical model to forecast the incidence rate of dysentery each quarter in 1992. The best mathematical model was selected from analysis of precision, and very useful in the prevention and treatment of seasonal infectious diseases.
authors.affiliation: Beijing Railway Hygiene and Epidemic Prevention Station.
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Fang
mesh_terms: D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology*; D004403:Dysentery / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008433:Mathematics; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011890:Railroads; D012621:Seasons