title: Risk of entering nursing homes for long versus short stays.
abstract: Research on the risk of nursing home use has generally not distinguished between risk for long versus short stays. This paper presents an analysis of data from the 1982-84 National Long-Term Care Surveys to identify characteristics of disabled persons that predicted one or the other type of stay. Measures that are recognized to be strong predictors of nursing home use in general, such as dependencies in activities of daily living and cognitive impairment, were not significantly associated with admission for short stays. Results from the multivariate analysis were also used to make projections of lifetime risk of long and short stays. Approximately one-third of lifetime nursing home risk applies to stays of 90 days or less.
authors.affiliation: Health Policy Center, Urban Institute, Washington, DC 20037.
authors.forename: K
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: McBride
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Coughlin
mesh_terms: D000203:Activities of Daily Living; D000368:Aged; D000818:Animals; D003072:Cognition Disorders / Q000175:diagnosis; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007902:Length of Stay / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D008134:Long-Term Care; D008297:Male; D006278:Medicare; D008609:Mental Status Schedule; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D009735:Nursing Homes / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D010343:Patient Admission / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D011336:Probability; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D012307:Risk Factors; D014481:United States