title: Influence of model-building strategies on the results of a case-control study.
abstract: We evaluate the analysis of a case-control study in which many variables were investigated simultaneously. The purpose of the study was to explore some rather unspecific hypotheses about potential risk factors for adult brain tumour. Our aim is to show that in the analysis of case-control studies many decisions are necessary which are usually not published in detail. As in most studies these decisions are made during analysis and are data dependent. We demonstrate that the data allow sensible alternative decisions which influence the final results. A sensitivity analysis of several aspects of the analysis such as different measurement scales, variable selection, handling of missing values and interactions was performed, and demonstrated variation in the results based on the strategy for analysis. We conclude that details of the final analysis should be decided in the planning phase of a case-control study, and that more details of model-building strategies must be published. Results from a study where the analysis is highly data dependent must be interpreted with caution and validation of the results with new studies is essential.
authors.affiliation: German Cancer Research Centre, Division of Epidemiology, Heidelberg.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Blettner
authors.forename: W
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Sauerbrei
mesh_terms: D015982:Bias; D001932:Brain Neoplasms / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000209:etiology; D016022:Case-Control Studies; D016000:Cluster Analysis; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D005260:Female; D005858:Germany / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male; D015233:Models, Statistical; D012042:Registries / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012307:Risk Factors