title: Theoretical aspects of detection of bacteraemia as a function of the volume of blood cultured.
abstract: Clinically significant bacteraemia in adults is characterized by low numbers of circulating bacteria. Assuming a Poisson or a binomial distribution we have calculated the probability of detecting bacteria as a function of the concentration in blood, estimated the concentration of bacteria in blood from a given test result, and calculated the blood volume required to detect bacterial growth with a probability of 95% at a given mean number of colony-forming units (cfu) per sample unit. These theoretical assumptions have been used on an empirical population of patients with proven bacteraemia.
  
  
  RESULTS
  18% of Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemias and 29% of Escherichia coli bacteraemias have circulating bacteria with an estimated spread of less than 0.04 cfu/ml. With a 95% probability of detection of a bacteraemia, a concentration in blood corresponding to 3 cfu/sampling unit is necessary. In our empirical material, where 30 ml was cultured, the probability of detection of E. coli bacteraemias would have decreased by 11% if 20 ml had been cultured, and 27% if only 10 ml had been cultured. The corresponding figures for S. aureus were 6% and 15%, respectively. For low grade E. coli bacteraemias (< 0.04 cfu/ml) the decrease would have been 33% and 67%, respectively.
authors.affiliation: Gay Men's Health Clinic (Venhälsan), Södersjukhuset, Stockholm, Sweden.
authors.forename: B
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Jonsson
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Nyberg
authors.forename: C
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Henning
mesh_terms: D016470:Bacteremia / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D001773:Blood Cells / Q000166:cytology* / Q000382:microbiology; D001810:Blood Volume; D002478:Cells, Cultured; D004926:Escherichia coli / Q000302:isolation & purification; D004927:Escherichia coli Infections / Q000097:blood* / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D011336:Probability; D013203:Staphylococcal Infections / Q000097:blood* / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D013211:Staphylococcus aureus / Q000302:isolation & purification