A consensus approach to projections of the supply of oral and maxillofacial surgeons in Australia.
The analysis presented involves projections of the future requirements for the oral and maxillofacial surgeon labour force in Australia under a range of different recruitment scenarios, followed by a consensus-seeking exercise with the Australian and New Zealand Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons (ANZAOMS) Council in an attempt to produce estimates of the most probable future requirement for oral and maxillofacial surgeons. The resulting consensus estimates would result in the maintenance of the present population-to-surgeon ratio. Different premises or beliefs underlying the projections were viewed as counterbalancing each other.
Spencer
A J
AJ
Department of Dentistry, University of Adelaide, Australia.
Szuster
F S
FS
Brennan
D S
DS
Goss
A N
AN
D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D001315:Australia; D003697:Delphi Technique; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006301:Health Services Needs and Demand / Q000706:statistics & numerical data* / Q000639:trends; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008390:Markov Chains; D008875:Middle Aged; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012737:Sex Factors; D013515:Surgery, Oral / Q000639:trends; D000078329:Workforce