title: A disease transmission model in a nonconstant population.
abstract: A general SIRS disease transmission model is formulated under assumptions that the size of the population varies, the incidence rate is nonlinear, and the recovered (removed) class may also be directly reinfected. For a class of incidence functions it is shown that the model has no periodic solutions. By contrast, for a particular incidence function, a combination of analytical and numerical techniques are used to show that (for some parameters) periodic solutions can arise through homoclinic loops or saddle connections and disappear through Hopf bifurcations.
authors.affiliation: Department of Mathematics, University of Montana, Missoula 59812.
authors.forename: W R
authors.initials: WR
authors.lastname: Derrick
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: van den Driessche
mesh_terms: D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission*; D004198:Disease Susceptibility; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008433:Mathematics; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011157:Population Dynamics