title: Predicting alcohol use in rural children: a longitudinal study.
abstract: The purposes of this study were to describe the prevalence and correlates of alcohol use and to examine the ability to predict alcohol use among rural sixth- and seventh-grade children. The sample consisted of 625 children from six schools in small Montana towns. Self-administered questionnaires contained measures of sociodemographic characteristics, self-concept, school attitudes, beliefs about the effects of alcohol, and alcohol use. Fifty-eight percent of the children reported using alcohol. Children's beliefs about alcohol were significantly correlated with alcohol use. Logistic regression analysis failed to identify a model having adequate sensitivity and specificity for classifying sixth- and seventh-grade students as "users" and "nonusers" based on variables assessed in Grades 3 and 4. Nevertheless, holding other variables constant, children who displayed both negative self-concept and negative school attitudes in Grades 3 and 4 were most likely to use alcohol in Grades 6 and 7.
authors.affiliation: College of Nursing, Montana State University, Bozeman.
authors.forename: K A
authors.initials: KA
authors.lastname: Long
authors.forename: R J
authors.initials: RJ
authors.lastname: Boik
mesh_terms: D000428:Alcohol Drinking; D001290:Attitude; D002648:Child; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D009009:Montana; D010551:Personality; D002666:Psychology, Child; D012424:Rural Population; D012574:Schools; D012649:Self Concept; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors