Intrapartum detection of a macrosomic fetus: clinical versus 8 sonographic models.
The purpose of this study was to determine whether clinical or sonographic models have 1) the highest accuracy in differentiating newborns with birth-weights > or = 4,000 g (macrosomia) versus < or = 3,999 g, and 2) among macrosomics which method of predicting birth-weight has the lowest percentage error. Prospectively, 602 consecutive parturients at term had a clinical estimate of birth-weight followed by sonographic measurement of fetal parts. The sonographic prediction of birth-weight was derived using 8 different models that utilize either 1 measurement or a combination of 2 to 4 parameters. The incidence of macrosomia was 11.1% (67 of 602). Analysis of ROC curves indicated that clinical predictions (w = 0.85) were significantly better than 4 of the 8 sonographic models. The mean standardized absolute error among macrosomic newborns is significantly lower when predictions are derived clinically (99 +/- 70 g/kg) than using 1 or 2 fetal parts. Sonographic assessment of birth-weight is not significantly more accurate in the detection of a macrosomic fetus than clinical predictions.
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson 39216-4505, USA.
S P
SP
Chauhan
B D
BD
Cowan
E F
EF
Magann
T H
TH
Bradford
W E
WE
Roberts
J C
JC
Morrison
D000328:Adult; D005260:Female; D005320:Fetal Macrosomia / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging; D006801:Humans; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011247:Pregnancy; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012372:ROC Curve; D016216:Ultrasonography, Prenatal