title: The association between perceived risk and actual cardiovascular disease.
abstract: We examined the association between self-rated risk of stroke or myocardial infarction and actual morbidity and mortality by gender among participants of the Pawtucket Heart Health Program Health Survey in a nested case-control study. We defined cases (N = 191) as survey participants who later had a cardiac event registered in the Pawtucket Heart Health Program cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality surveillance system. We matched controls (N = 573) on age, sex, date of survey, and city of residence. Women reporting a high perceived risk of stroke or myocardial infarction were four times as likely as women who indicated low perceived risk to have a future cardiovascular event [adjusted odds ratio = 4.0; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.5-10.3]. Men who perceived their risk as average were twice as likely as those who rated their risk as low to have a future myocardial infarction or stroke (adjusted odds ratio = 1.9; 95% CI = 1.0-3.6), whereas those who perceived their risk as high were at only slightly higher risk of morbid or mortal events (adjusted odds ratio = 1.8; 95% CI = 0.9-3.9).
authors.affiliation: Division of Health Education, Memorial Hospital of Rhode Island, Pawtucket 02860, USA.
authors.forename: J L
authors.initials: JL
authors.lastname: McKenney
authors.forename: K L
authors.initials: KL
authors.lastname: Lapane
authors.forename: A R
authors.initials: AR
authors.lastname: Assaf
authors.forename: R A
authors.initials: RA
authors.lastname: Carleton
mesh_terms: D002561:Cerebrovascular Disorders / Q000453:epidemiology*; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000453:epidemiology*; D016017:Odds Ratio; D012237:Rhode Island / Q000453:epidemiology; D012306:Risk