title: Risk screening for adverse outcomes in subacute care.
abstract: Purpose of this study was to identify variables near hospital admission that could identify patients at risk for placement, death, or readmission. The goals were to assess sensitivity and specificity of screening strategies in predicting adverse outcomes that deter or affect home health care. We evaluated whether generic screens might efficiently identify type of outcome. Criteria reported in the literature were used to predict outcomes for 1,332 admissions. Factors that discriminated type of outcome included comorbidity, mental status, living arrangement, transfer to special care, prior admission, iatrogenic trauma, and pending litigation. We conclude risk scores can accurately predict outcome of hospital treatment, which may be useful in targeting patients for intervention. Using billing data, although rather insensitive, was the most cost-effective strategy.
authors.affiliation: Department of Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, WA 98108, USA.
authors.forename: R L
authors.initials: RL
authors.lastname: Evans
authors.forename: R T
authors.initials: RT
authors.lastname: Connis
mesh_terms: D016001:Confidence Intervals; D006801:Humans; D009026:Mortality; D016017:Odds Ratio; D010043:Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care; D010359:Patient Readmission / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D011785:Quality Assurance, Health Care / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D012017:Referral and Consultation / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012046:Rehabilitation / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012308:Risk Management; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D014861:Washington