title: A system to project injury and illness incidence during military operations.
abstract: Modeling of medical resource requirements during military operations requires projections of disease and non-battle injury (DNBI) and wounded-in-action (WIA) rates. Historical data were extracted from unit diaries of infantry and support troops deployed during four previous combat engagements. A planning tool (FORECAS) was developed that uses the statistical distributions of DNBI and WIA incidence from previous operations to simulate injury and illness arrival rates under future scenarios. Output of the simulated data reflects the nuances of the empirical data.
authors: Medical Information Systems and Operations Research Department, Naval Health Research Center, San Diego, California 92186-5122, USA.
authors: C G
authors: CG
authors: Blood
authors: E R
authors: ER
authors: O'Donnell
mesh_terms: D003660:Decision Support Systems, Management; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008838:Microcomputers; D008889:Military Personnel / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D009784:Occupational Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology*; D010343:Patient Admission / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D016012:Poisson Distribution; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D014481:United States / Q000453:epidemiology; D014584:User-Computer Interface; D014857:Warfare; D014947:Wounds and Injuries / Q000453:epidemiology*