A model for predicting the transmission rate of malaria from serological data.
A model is developed to estimate the duration for which malaria antibody levels in the blood remain high in a closed population. This estimate can be used to calculate the transmission rate within a region, in conjunction with the serological information contained in the population. The model is used on data obtained from a study of malaria in the Philippines and shows excellent agreement. It is subsequently utilised for predictions and seems to be an appropriate vehicle for this purpose.
Gatton
M
M
Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Griffith University, Nathan, Queensland, Australia.
Hogarth
W
W
Saul
A
A
Dayananda
P
P
D000818:Animals; D000913:Antibodies, Protozoan / Q000097:blood; D001699:Biometry; D006801:Humans; D008288:Malaria / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000276:immunology* / Q000635:transmission*; D008433:Mathematics; D008954:Models, Biological; D010679:Philippines / Q000453:epidemiology; D010961:Plasmodium / Q000276:immunology
D000913:Antibodies, Protozoan