title: Extinction rates can be estimated from molecular phylogenies.
abstract: Molecular phylogenies can be used to reject null models of the way we think evolution occurred, including patterns of lineage extinction. They can also be used to provide maximum likelihood estimates of parameters associated with lineage birth and death rates. We illustrate: (i) how molecular phylogenies provide information about the extent to which particular clades are likely to be under threat from extinction; (ii) how cursory analyses of molecular phylogenies can lead to incorrect conclusions about the evolutionary processes that have been at work; and (iii) how different evolutionary processes leave distinctive marks on the structure of reconstructed phylogenies.
authors.affiliation: A.F.R.C. Unit of Ecology and Behaviour, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, U.K.
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Nee
authors.forename: E C
authors.initials: EC
authors.lastname: Holmes
authors.forename: R M
authors.initials: RM
authors.lastname: May
authors.forename: P H
authors.initials: PH
authors.lastname: Harvey
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D001723:Birth Rate; D004330:Drosophila; D015497:HIV-1; D008967:Molecular Biology; D009026:Mortality; D010802:Phylogeny; D014562:Caudata