title: Statistical modelling in specific case analysis.
abstract: In spite of the problems associated with the development of a statistical approach in specific case analysis, the potential of two statistical methods, logistic regression and Bayesian belief networks, has been investigated and found encouraging in the context of a database relating to child murders with a sexual connotation. Continual collaboration between statisticians and detectives would be needed in the collection of the data, the choice and construction of the models, and the interpretation of the results.
authors.affiliation: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
authors.forename: C G
authors.initials: CG
authors.lastname: Aitken
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Connolly
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Gammerman
authors.forename: G
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Zhang
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Bailey
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Gordon
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Oldfield
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D001499:Bayes Theorem; D002648:Child; D002649:Child Abuse; D002675:Child, Preschool; D016208:Databases, Factual; D005260:Female; D006708:Homicide; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male