title: Predictors of pressure ulcer healing among long-term care residents.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To identify predictors of pressure ulcer healing among long-term care residents.
  
  
  METHODS
  A retrospective cohort study.
  
  
  METHODS
  Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) long-term care facilities.
  
  
  METHODS
  All long-term care residents with a pressure ulcer on April 1, 1993, who remained institutionalized as of October 1, 1993. Patients and pressure ulcer status were identified from the Patient Assessment File, a VA administrative database.
  
  
  METHODS
  Pressure ulcers were considered healed if patients were without an ulcer on October 1, 1993. Predictors of pressure ulcer healing were selected from among patient characteristics in the Patient Assessment File.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Pressure ulcers were present in 7.7% of the long-term care residents institutionalized as of April 1, 1993. Among the 819 pressure ulcer patients remaining institutionalized as of October 1, 1993, ulcers had healed in 442 (54.0%). Seventy-two percent of patients with Stage 2 ulcers were ulcer-free at 6 months, compared with 45.2% of patients with Stage 3 ulcers and 30.6% of those with Stage 4 ulcers (P < .001). Significant (P < .05) independent predictors of healing included pressure ulcer size (Odds ratio (OR) = 5.2 for Stage 2 ulcers, OR = 1.5 for Stage 3 ulcers), older age (OR = 1.5), and receiving rehabilitation services (OR = 1.3 for each additional type of therapy). Both immobility (OR = .3) and incontinence (OR = .7) were associated with ulcers not healing.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Most Stage 2 pressure ulcers, and many larger ulcers encountered in long-term care settings will heal. Baseline patient characteristics are important predictors of healing. Interventions may then be targeted at patients whose ulcers are unlikely to heal, and observed facility performance may be compared with expected outcomes.
authors.affiliation: Bedford VA Hospital, Massachusetts, USA.
authors.forename: D R
authors.initials: DR
authors.lastname: Berlowitz
authors.forename: G H
authors.initials: GH
authors.lastname: Brandeis
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Anderson
authors.forename: H K
authors.initials: HK
authors.lastname: Brand
mesh_terms: D000203:Activities of Daily Living; D000368:Aged; D015331:Cohort Studies; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008134:Long-Term Care; D008297:Male; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D003668:Pressure Ulcer / Q000145:classification*; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D014945:Wound Healing