title: Predictive modelling of Escherichia coli O157:H7: inclusion of carbon dioxide as a fourth factor in a pre-existing model.
abstract: Two models for Escherichia coli O157:H7 are compared, one with growth-controlling factors pH (4.5-7.0), temperature (10-30 degrees C) and NaCl concentration (0.5-6.5% w/v) and the other with the same factors and ranges, but with the addition of carbon dioxide (CO2: 10-80% v/v). Validation of the four-factor model, to include food packed in modified atmospheres containing CO2, was not possible due to lack of published data. However, where CO2 concentration was entered as 0%, only minor differences occurred between the predictions from the two models for the same conditions of pH, NaCl and temperature; consequently reliable, safe predictions using the four-factor model, with CO2 concentration recorded as 0%, can be made for foods packed in air. At temperatures from 10 to 30 degrees C, it was found that lower (10 and 20%) concentrations of CO2 had little effect on lag times and growth rates, and higher concentrations still permitted growth of E. coli O157:H7 under a wide range of conditions of NaCl concentration, pH value and temperature, suggesting that the organism is relatively CO2-tolerant.
authors.affiliation: Institute of Food Research, Reading Laboratory, UK.
authors.forename: J P
authors.initials: JP
authors.lastname: Sutherland
authors.forename: A J
authors.initials: AJ
authors.lastname: Bayliss
authors.forename: D S
authors.initials: DS
authors.lastname: Braxton
authors.forename: A L
authors.initials: AL
authors.lastname: Beaumont
mesh_terms: D002245:Carbon Dioxide / Q000494:pharmacology*; D019453:Escherichia coli O157 / Q000254:growth & development*; D006863:Hydrogen-Ion Concentration; D008954:Models, Biological; D012965:Sodium Chloride / Q000494:pharmacology; D013696:Temperature
chemical_list: D002245:Carbon Dioxide; D012965:Sodium Chloride