title: Likelihood of introducing selected exotic diseases to domestic swine in the continental United States of America through uncooked swill.
abstract: To help policy makers determine the need for current regulations (which require cooking of swill prior to feeding to swine), an assessment of the likelihood of exposing domestic swine in the continental United States of America (USA) to selected foreign animal disease agents by feeding uncooked swill was carried out. The hazard was assumed to originate from contraband food items entering the USA and subsequently being discarded in household waste. Such food waste may be collected by licensed waste feeders and fed to swine. This study showed that, of the four diseases studied, the probability of exposure was highest for the classical swine fever (hog cholera) virus. The median annual likelihood of one or more contaminated loads of swill being fed to swine in the continental USA was estimated as follows: classical swine fever virus: 0.063, foot and mouth disease virus: 0.043, swine vesicular disease virus: 0.005, African swine fever virus: 0.005.
authors.affiliation: United States Department of Agriculture, Centers for Epidemiology and Animal Health, Fort Collins, Colorado 80521, USA.
authors.forename: B
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Corso
mesh_terms: D000357:African Swine Fever / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology / Q000635:transmission; D000821:Animal Feed / Q000009:adverse effects* / Q000821:virology; D000818:Animals; D016010:Binomial Distribution; D006691:Classical Swine Fever / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology / Q000635:transmission; D005511:Food Handling; D005536:Foot-and-Mouth Disease / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology / Q000635:transmission; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D015995:Prevalence; D012037:Refuse Disposal; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012307:Risk Factors; D013552:Swine; D013553:Swine Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology* / Q000635:transmission; D013555:Swine Vesicular Disease / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology / Q000635:transmission; D014481:United States / Q000453:epidemiology