Secular trend and age-period-cohort analysis of prostate cancer mortality in Taiwan.
OBJECTIVE
We evaluated the secular mortality trend of prostate cancer in Taiwan from 1964 through 1994.


METHODS
Analyses were based on vital statistics. Relative risks associated with each of the age, period and cohort effects on secular mortality were estimated from a log-linear Poisson model.


RESULTS
Age adjusted mortality rates increased more than 2-fold during the last 30 years in Taiwan. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that the age effect was the strongest.


CONCLUSIONS
Factors related to aging are the main reason for the increase in prostate cancer mortality in Taiwan during the least 3 decades.
Chang
C K
CK
Graduate Institutes of Epidemiology and Clinical Medicine, Colleges of Public Health and Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei.
Yu
H J
HJ
Chan
K W
KW
Lai
M K
MK
D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D015331:Cohort Studies; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011471:Prostatic Neoplasms / Q000401:mortality*; D012306:Risk; D013624:Taiwan / Q000453:epidemiology