title: Is there justification for using indomethacin in preterm labor? An analysis of neonatal risks and benefits.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Recent reports have suggested that the use of indomethacin for tocolysis may independently increase the risk for major adverse neonatal events such as intraventricular hemorrhage and necrotizing enterocolitis. The objective of this study was to determine whether this potential risk of indomethacin is outweighed by the benefit of delivery delay at gestational ages < 32 weeks.
  
  
  METHODS
  We constructed separate decision trees to compare strategies of tocolysis with indomethacin versus no tocolysis for hypothetic cohorts of patients with idiopathic preterm labor at 24, 26, 28, 30, and 32 weeks' gestation. Probabilities for these decision models, including estimates of indomethacin efficacy and the potential for increase in adverse neonatal events with indomethacin, were obtained from the medical literature. The primary outcome was the number of expected adverse neonatal events per 1000 women for each strategy at each gestational age.
  
  
  RESULTS
  In the base case analysis tocolysis with indomethacin was a more favorable strategy than no tocolysis across all gestational ages that we studied. As expected, the difference in the number of events between the two strategies declined with advancing gestational age because of a decreasing baseline risk for adverse neonatal events as gestational age increased. The models at 26, 28, 30, or 32 weeks were not sensitive to our estimates of indomethacin efficacy, nor to our estimates of baseline neonatal morbidity or steroid efficacy, or to the relative increase in some neonatal morbidities with indomethacin use.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  On the basis of current estimates, the benefits of indomethacin outweigh the potential risks to the neonate at gestational ages < or = 32 weeks. Thus the use of indomethacin for tocolysis at these ages is a reasonable strategy.
authors.affiliation: Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania Health System, Philadelphia, USA.
authors.forename: G A
authors.initials: GA
authors.lastname: Macones
authors.forename: C A
authors.initials: CA
authors.lastname: Robinson
mesh_terms: D002543:Cerebral Hemorrhage / Q000139:chemically induced; D003661:Decision Support Techniques; D004761:Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous / Q000139:chemically induced; D005260:Female; D005865:Gestational Age; D006801:Humans; D007213:Indomethacin / Q000009:adverse effects* / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D007231:Infant, Newborn; D007752:Obstetric Labor, Premature / Q000188:drug therapy*; D011247:Pregnancy; D012307:Risk Factors; D015149:Tocolytic Agents / Q000009:adverse effects / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D016896:Treatment Outcome
chemical_list: D015149:Tocolytic Agents; D007213:Indomethacin